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MagicPoopCannon
Nov 12, 2018 7:38 PM

Litecoin — Pinched Between A Rock & A Hard Place. (LTC) 

Litecoin / DollarBitfinex

Description

Hi friends! Welcome to this update analysis on Litecoin! Looking at the daily LTC chart, you can see that Litecoin is trapped between two support and resistance levels. Just above the current price action, we have the 50 EMA (in orange) which has suppressed the price of LTC since May. Just below, we have a long lasting support level at $50, which originated in May of 2017. So, LTC is being pinched between these two levels, and we're just waiting to see which way it's going to break. If LTC breaks down below the $50 level, the next major support is around $39.11.

I could make a case for calling the recent price action between the $50 level and the 50 EMA a quasi head and shoulders pattern. It isn't the prettiest thing, but there isn't really a standard of symmetry for head and shoulders patterns. Shoulders can occasionally be higher than the head or very small, so I don't generally fret over asymmetrical head and shoulders patterns. In this case, I think it's worth keeping in the back of your mind, but I wouldn't break the bank on it. If we see an upside breakout that takes LTC above the 50 EMA, I will be very impressed. Particularly if it can hold the 50 EMA as support. If we see that, I will probably be a buyer.

There's a huge bullish divergence on the MACD, so that's something that we should definitely keep an eye on. The sell side momentum has been steadily dying, but momentum divergences aren't always the best indicators. The MACD currently looks like it's trying to cross over bearish, adding to the likelihood of further downside, but trying to predict one direction or the other right now is not a wise idea. It's best to wait for LTC to show us what it wants to do. If it confirms below the $50 level, then $39.11 will be in play. If LTC confirms above the 50 EMA, the $57 level is providing additional resistance just above. Keep in mind that LTC hasn't made a major higher high since the all time high, so it's still in a technical downtrend. Until that happens, and a crypto recovery proves itself, the bias remains to the downside.

I'm the master of the charts, the professor, the legend, the king, and I go by the name of Magic! Au revoir.

***This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.***

-JD-
Comments
mezase
LTC going back to where it came from, it's useless now. No need of it for anything.
kardia
@mezase, The market will decide that. Not you.
mezase
@rev214us, Don't worry, market is deciding as we speak no need to get mad at me. Sry for your losses tho
kardia
@mezase, The market goes through cycles. Just because it is down it doesn't mean it is out.
mezase
@rev214us, Crypto is still in a bubble and as such many projects will perish before any kind of adoption happens. Not everything will recover and with that said I'm not placing any bets on something that doesn't have any sort of plans for the future besides calling itself the "silver" of crypto a long time ago.
kardia
@mezase, Well, that's your choice to think like that. But your opinion doesn't speak for everyone else. I could say Bitcoin is dying and taking everything else down with it. There is evidence for such a scenario in the charts. You would obviously disagree with me. Yet you don't know for certain that you would be right and I would be wrong. Time will tell. One thing is certain: the crypto market is extremely risky. Regulations are needed. When regulations come, then we will likely see lots of money coming into this market. If regulations don't come, the market will likely fizzle out due to lack of interest where it matters.
mezase
@rev214us, Of course it's a risky market, that's why I wouldn't think of making it even riskier by investing in "walking dead" projects. I do agree that everything will go wherever Bitcoin goes, specially if it means down.
kardia
@mezase, Well, most of us didn't know Charlie was going to stab us all in the back by selling his bags. He is a very poor leader, in my opinion.
mezase
@rev214us, A stupendous exit scam even if no one views it as such
kardia
@mezase, Well, I wouldn't call it an exit scam, but I think the reason he gave for selling was stupid. I don't believe he was being completely truthful. This whole market is probably screwed. I don't see anything good coming from it. But because I am a holder who got suckered into it, I have to pay attention to what is going on in it. Day by day my anger towards Bitcoin grows.
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