Hi friends! Welcome to this update analysis on Litecoin! Let's get right to it! Looking at the four hour chart, you can see that LTC is continuing to consolidate sideways, in a bear flag below the 20 EMA (in blue.) If you've been following my pattern here, it's important to note that it's now beginning to deviate in a way that is a bit concerning to the viability of the pattern. The likelihood of downside movement still remains, particularly because we are in a bear flag, but the pattern is beginning to extend a bit more than I would have liked to see. If you recall from my previous posts though, I did note that these patterns can end unexpectedly. However, I'm not saying that this pattern has ended. I'm simply noting that it is now beginning to morph in a less than desirable way.
These patterns are very peculiar things, in technical analysis, and I think they emerge as a random fractal expression in the chart. I believe that because there aren't many people who can identify them, because they are more obscure than the general formations that analysts know and watch for. Therefore, they aren't traded as precisely, because analysts and traders don't recognize them to trade them in the first place, and thus cause the projection to come to fruition. That doesn't detract from the notion that the fractal expression won't continue further. In this case, we're looking for an extended breakdown, much like the one seen between 3/26 and 3/30, to take us down to potentially the 68 level. That would be a fall equal to the magnitude of the fall seen between 3/26 and 3/30, so it isn't like it's some huge impossibility for us to fall to 68 in a very short period of time. To put it into perspective, LTC just fell from 158 to 109 during the four aforementioned days — a loss of 31%. I realize that a fall to 68 is nearly -40% from current levels, but I do believe that the overall technical picture supports such a decline.
For now, let's watch for a breakdown of this small bear flag, as the 20 EMA (in blue) begins to enter the flag body. If/when the flag breaks to the downside, support rests at the double bottom low of 106.52, from 2/6. Below there, things could really accelerate to the downside, with support around 84 and then the 70-68 area. Rallies to and above the 50 EMA (in orange) continue to be selling opportunities in LTC.
I'm the master of the charts, the professor, the legend, the king, and I go by the name of Magic! Au revoir.
***This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.***
Magic is just honestly wanting to buy more cheap coins off you plebs. You really think if LTC hits 50 dollar people won't go turn around and say "oh well this isn't the bottom, i'll just buy when it hits 10 dollars" YOU CAN'T PREDICT THE BOTTOM. FOR ALL YOU KNOW THIS IS THE BOTTOM. Magics TA are useless seriously. If it crashes that hard no one is gonna touch LTC or any crypto with a 100 foot pole. You may be saying yeah ill buy when its 50 dollars for sure! thats what they said if ltc were to reach 100 again, guess what? no one buying.
Cold_Storage
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@Condiments, $10.50 this time last year. $50 would still be a fair price for something that outside the credit card mania buy phase hasn't changed its footprint in adoption usage.
Boss_Coyote
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LTc won't even breach 110 from here support is way to strong .. only way to go is up
casitapark
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Thanks Magic, this is a very nuanced post that invites us to really dig deep into our conditioned understanding of what and how you have been communicating with us. I will be paying even greater attention and I hope that the readers will appreciate the subtleties presented here. But I won't be holding my breath on that. :-)
Bludwood
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Patterns are patterns until they aren't and sometimes history repeats itself...
Smoak
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Many of you will dismiss this until it happens but, assuming bitcoin breaks below 6500, we will see litecoin trade at $51 in the near future.
Smoak
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@Smoak, Question for Magic, why the $70 target? We are both thinking bitcoin in the $4000 range and when bitcoin traded at that level litecoin was trading at the $50.00 level. Wouldn't it make sense that the two would mirror each other?
Bludwood
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LTC breakout may be occurring.
HiTekAnalysis
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Market was pumped 3/18 (as you can see here on your chart) BTC, LTC, and ETH have all pulled back, but a lot of alts have not and are performing well. we have likely already seen a bottom (3/30 - current LTC appears to have found support) in this overly manipulated market, yet majority of analysis are stating we are going lower to encourage shorting and selling. I believe this may be false and not simply inaccurate. Just an observation #besafe