Conviction: 3/5
could have another leg down to touch lower channel line (2008)
General Thesis
Growth
Value
Fundamentals & Balance Sheet
Potential Risks
could have another leg down to touch lower channel line (2008)
General Thesis
- could have finished 3 leg down correction
- Weekly RSI at oversold levels - historically only touches this level once before bouncing
Growth
- Margins are consistently falling since 2011
- revenue growth trending up, new ATH
Value
- P/FCF expensive (negative FCF)
- P/S below historical average, come down a lot since peak in 2021
Fundamentals & Balance Sheet
- low debt to asset (<1)
- good quick ratio (>1)
Potential Risks
- expensive P/FCF
- data does not contain last recession
- another leg down to touch trend support?