Meta Platforms (META) has been on a Lower Highs decline since its August 2025 All Time High (ATH) but is being supported by its 1W MA100 (black trend-line) so far. This is the last Support standing before a strong correction, most likely a full-on 2026 Bear Cycle similar to 2022 and 2018.
The 1M RSI is already on a Bearish Divergence since July 2025, a formation that was also present on the July 2018 High. On all Bear Cycles, once the 1W MA100 broke (could be seen also as a 1W MA50-100 Zone), the correction hit at least the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line). Interestingly enough, the drops to the 1M MA50 have been very similar (-40% in 2022 and -44% in 2018).
If repeated (the 1M MA50 drop), Meta should hit at least $480 before hitting it. That is also the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, which is where the December 2018 bottom was formed.
The 2022 Bear Cycle was much more brutal though, mainly due to the Metaverse transition in capital expenditure and the stock extended the correction to 1M MA100 (green trend-line) and below, reaching as low as the 1.236 Fibonacci extension from the 2018 Low.
As a result, if the potential 2026 Bear Cycle gets more aggressive and is escalated on certain macro-economic catalysts, we see Meta making a potential contact with both the 1M MA100 and the 1.236 Fibonacci extension around $360. That would represent a -55.82% decline, identical to April 2022 when the market hit the 1M MA100 during that Bear Cycle.
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The 1M RSI is already on a Bearish Divergence since July 2025, a formation that was also present on the July 2018 High. On all Bear Cycles, once the 1W MA100 broke (could be seen also as a 1W MA50-100 Zone), the correction hit at least the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line). Interestingly enough, the drops to the 1M MA50 have been very similar (-40% in 2022 and -44% in 2018).
If repeated (the 1M MA50 drop), Meta should hit at least $480 before hitting it. That is also the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, which is where the December 2018 bottom was formed.
The 2022 Bear Cycle was much more brutal though, mainly due to the Metaverse transition in capital expenditure and the stock extended the correction to 1M MA100 (green trend-line) and below, reaching as low as the 1.236 Fibonacci extension from the 2018 Low.
As a result, if the potential 2026 Bear Cycle gets more aggressive and is escalated on certain macro-economic catalysts, we see Meta making a potential contact with both the 1M MA100 and the 1.236 Fibonacci extension around $360. That would represent a -55.82% decline, identical to April 2022 when the market hit the 1M MA100 during that Bear Cycle.
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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I trade Crypto, Forex, Indices, Commodities on PrimeXBT— all from one account with TradingView charts 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/PrimeXBT
💰Message me for TradingShot Account Management| +20% monthly profit| Min. capital $30k| Solid risk-management
💰Message me for TradingShot Account Management| +20% monthly profit| Min. capital $30k| Solid risk-management
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.