New Week Repricing — Acceptance Above Value or Failed Break?

New week. New month. Strong geopolitical catalyst over the weekend led to immediate impulsive repricing as markets opened.

Price aggressively broke outside the 2-week value area and is now attempting to establish new balance above prior range.

Currently, price is trading inside a 1H bearish FVG formed during the initial displacement.

Key question:
Is this acceptance above prior value — or a liquidity vacuum before mean reversion?

Scenarios I’m watching:

🟢 Bullish Continuation
• Hold above prior value high
• Bearish FVG gets absorbed
• Higher low forms above breakout level
• London session continuation

🔴 Mean Reversion
• Rejection inside FVG
• Acceptance back inside prior 2-week range
• Deeper retrace into 4H imbalance

Tuesday often decides whether Monday’s expansion continues or retraces.

Not predicting — waiting for confirmation.

Let price prove it.