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PraefectusUrbi
Sep 16, 2020 7:02 PM

MO closed below wedge in an overarching downwards trend Short

Altria Group, Inc.NYSE

Description

It looks like MO broke through the wedge. As we can see, we are in an overarching downwards trend, so I'm going to short this stock. I am going to close this trend either if price reaches the 2-year lower trendline, or if price turns around and hits the edge of the wedge.

Trade active

shorted at an avg. fill price of $42.49
SL @ $44.90
Comments
skullytwenty13
I agree, here. I’m long and add periodically. I might take a put position as a hedge and eventually sell to add.
PraefectusUrbi
Hello @skullytwenty13, thank you for your reply! I can't really see why you are long here. Could you maybe explain it to me - because in the end we are all here to learn, I guess.
Let me share my thoughts with you, why I think that this stock is to be shorted:
MO is in an downwards trend since 2017, and I didn't see any higher highs, so I would say that this trend is still intact.
The chart also formed an upward-wedge since the crash in March, and upward-wedges tend to be followed by a decreasing price.
The price left this wedge between the 0.5 and the 0.618 Fib. retracement, which even strenghtend my idea that the downwards trend is going to continue.
So, I would really appreciate if you shared your thoughts with me. :-)
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