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UnknownUnicorn1043646
Jun 19, 2021 2:43 PM

Credit - Bonds Volatility Megaphone Long

ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate IndexTVC

Description

Idea for MOVE:
- Bond markets seeing volatility after the Quad Witching and FOMC double whammy.
- US02Y 2x ATR spike:

- Expecting turbulence the rest of the month.

GLHF
- DPT

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Interesting chart in the 5s30s:

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This took some time to materialize but here it is:

Comment

After RBA unexpectedly refused to buy their own government's bonds, Australia's 2 year bonds experienced a "VaR shock inducing, bond crushing 5-sigma move, and the biggest one day surge in 2Y yields since the Lehman crisis!" according to Tyler Durden.

Comment

AU02Y with >10 sigma move:



Excited to see the spillover effects in the bond market.
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