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RedKTrader
Jan 15, 2024 5:28 PM

MSFT is (IMHO) the best AI play out there Long

Microsoft CorporationNASDAQ

Description

IMHO, the best AI play out there is not NVDA or AMD or GOOG .. it's MSFT

my thesis? they have the most well-defined revenue stream (net new revenue) from selling the new as copilot subscription attached to O365/W365, also on Azure platform, and also attached to CRM and other S/W offerings.

MSFT is an aggressive selling machine: If you know how aggressive MSFT is in pursuing new growth opportunities (like they did with Azure back in the 2014-2015), you can imagine how aggressive they will drive their sales force to "attach" copilot subscription to enterprise (productivity) accounts - Many of them already have the budgets and want to "show off" the use/adoption of AI in their "new way of work"

Subscription is a superior model: Subscription revenue is much more attractive/rewarding than one-time H/W sales (not only in rev amount, and recurrence, but also in margin) .. so this new pipeline of AI revenue should materialize into better profitability than what NVDA, ARM, AMD, INTC and other H/W vendors may realize.

** I will not try to predict any price moves or share any possible trade targets .. cause even if MSFT P&L is solid, good outlook, and wonderful chart - no one can predict the market/macro and we're in a very macro-sensitive market these days.. but i do have my plans :) - trying to ride the recent pattern of breakouts on the weekly chart,

If you'd like to further follow my analysis, here's the same chart showing the detailed (daily) view and the breakout pattern. Also showing the indicator set i use for inspecting momentum, strength and volume.





This is only a thought .. not a trade recommendation .. before you risk your trading capital, please DYOR -- good luck!
Comments
SabahEquityResearch
Perfect idea
sweetpat
Hello! Thanks. I have a question regarding one of your indicators. Can you help me port it to MT5? There is an exchange that does not link to TV. They use Meta Trader though. Can you get something to mt5 (Mlq5)?
RedKTrader
@sweetpat, sorry i don't code for mt5, but you should be able to find help here --> tradingview.com/chart/?solution=43000601677
drenwah
Hey RedK,

Great to see a post from you. Been a while! Thanks for your great insights...
RedKTrader
@drenwah, 🙏
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