15th April 2026.
Today, I’d like to share my view on Microsoft Corp (MSFT) based on a combined technical and fundamental analysis.
For those who attended my seminar, you would be familiar with the framework I use when analysing a stock.
Fundamental View
MSFT continues to pass key checks in:
Cash flow strength
Profit margin stability
Technical View
MSFT has recovered above the 200-day moving average on the weekly chart within less than 4 weeks
This suggests the stock has re-established its uptrend, with the 200-day MA acting as support
Price is also trading above the 50% Fibonacci retracement (~$380), drawn from the recent high (~$550+) to the 2023 low (~$210+)
Trade Setup
Bias: Upside
Key Support: $350
A break below $350 would invalidate this setup
Strategy: Swing / position trade
While some may feel that MSFT has already moved significantly over the past few days, I prefer to look at the bigger picture.
Based on this setup:
Estimated risk-reward ratio ~1:1.79, with resistance around $470
Personally, I prefer to manage trades by adjusting stop-loss levels rather than setting fixed take-profit targets
Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. Please manage your own risk accordingly.
Sean
Today, I’d like to share my view on Microsoft Corp (MSFT) based on a combined technical and fundamental analysis.
For those who attended my seminar, you would be familiar with the framework I use when analysing a stock.
Fundamental View
MSFT continues to pass key checks in:
Cash flow strength
Profit margin stability
Technical View
MSFT has recovered above the 200-day moving average on the weekly chart within less than 4 weeks
This suggests the stock has re-established its uptrend, with the 200-day MA acting as support
Price is also trading above the 50% Fibonacci retracement (~$380), drawn from the recent high (~$550+) to the 2023 low (~$210+)
Trade Setup
Bias: Upside
Key Support: $350
A break below $350 would invalidate this setup
Strategy: Swing / position trade
While some may feel that MSFT has already moved significantly over the past few days, I prefer to look at the bigger picture.
Based on this setup:
Estimated risk-reward ratio ~1:1.79, with resistance around $470
Personally, I prefer to manage trades by adjusting stop-loss levels rather than setting fixed take-profit targets
Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. Please manage your own risk accordingly.
Sean
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.