STRATEGY The collapse continues..

Strategy (MSTR) completely lost its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) last week, making its losses at more than -80% from its November 2024 All Time High (ATH), continuing to outperform even Bitcoin in losses. Given that the Bear Cycle on stocks hasn't started yet, this can only get (much) worse, something we've been calling out for since last year.

The last two major market bottoms have both been made after (marginally) breaching the 1M MA200 (red trend-line) in 2022 and 2020. This was close to the Higher Lows trend-line that started on the November 2008 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis. The stocks recent Highs since 2021 of course represent its strategic shift to Bitcoin reserves.

In any case, this shows that as long as Bitcoin continues to fall (should do so up until September 2026 at least), Strategy should target its 1M MA200 again and based on its current trajectory has high probabilities of making contact at $50.00.

A highly likely Bear Cycle on the stock market however, has the potential to accelerate the correction inside the Higher Lows Zone even.

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