Micron Technology (MU) is on an amazing long-term rally since the April 2025 Low, currently on the 6th straight green month (1M candle) and 8th in the last 9 months. Its historic price action however shows that this remarkable uptrend may be coming to an end as the price is approaching the top of its 17-year Channel Up (started after the 2008 U.S. Housing Crisis).
Technically, this post April 2025 rally, is the Bullish Leg of this Channel Up and it already broke above the 0.786 Channel Fibonacci, a level that has only broken 3 times in total, with the last being in June 2018.
At the same time, it is close to completing a +601.35% rise, which despite being unusually high, Micron has done such rally 3 times in the past. The remarkable feat is that all those rallies where exactly +601.35%!
Last but not least, the 1M RSI is massively overbought and is approaching Resistance 2 (89.00), which was last seen on the June 2014 High.
All those factors collectively, force a huge bearish dynamic long-term. At best, we may see this rally exhaust near $440 on the short-term, thus fulfilling the +601.35% Bullish Leg blue-print but on the long-term the value of selling give much higher return.
And as far as a potential Target for this upcoming Bear Cycle is concerned, the 0.236 Channel Fibonacci level is the strongest candidate as virtually all major corrections since 2011 have hit that trend-line before the market bottomed. As this chart shows, the 0.236 Fib level has been touched 6 times since 2011, with the market hitting at least its 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) in the process on a minimum -50% decline. The 1M MA100 (green trend-line) has been its true long-term Support since July 2016.
As a result, it is highly probable that Micron drops below the 1M MA50 and hits the 0.236 Fib at around $140 before the market bottoms and turns into a long-term Buy again. At the same time, it is useful to keep an eye on the 1M RSI and Support Zone 1. This has given the last 3 major Buy Signals since December 2018. As a result, if the stock hits that level before reaching $140, we will turn into long-term buyers regardless of the price.
---
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
---
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Technically, this post April 2025 rally, is the Bullish Leg of this Channel Up and it already broke above the 0.786 Channel Fibonacci, a level that has only broken 3 times in total, with the last being in June 2018.
At the same time, it is close to completing a +601.35% rise, which despite being unusually high, Micron has done such rally 3 times in the past. The remarkable feat is that all those rallies where exactly +601.35%!
Last but not least, the 1M RSI is massively overbought and is approaching Resistance 2 (89.00), which was last seen on the June 2014 High.
All those factors collectively, force a huge bearish dynamic long-term. At best, we may see this rally exhaust near $440 on the short-term, thus fulfilling the +601.35% Bullish Leg blue-print but on the long-term the value of selling give much higher return.
And as far as a potential Target for this upcoming Bear Cycle is concerned, the 0.236 Channel Fibonacci level is the strongest candidate as virtually all major corrections since 2011 have hit that trend-line before the market bottomed. As this chart shows, the 0.236 Fib level has been touched 6 times since 2011, with the market hitting at least its 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) in the process on a minimum -50% decline. The 1M MA100 (green trend-line) has been its true long-term Support since July 2016.
As a result, it is highly probable that Micron drops below the 1M MA50 and hits the 0.236 Fib at around $140 before the market bottoms and turns into a long-term Buy again. At the same time, it is useful to keep an eye on the 1M RSI and Support Zone 1. This has given the last 3 major Buy Signals since December 2018. As a result, if the stock hits that level before reaching $140, we will turn into long-term buyers regardless of the price.
---
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
---
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
🔥Automate my TradingView strategies with OneBullEx 🤖 Professional crypto bots • Risk-managed • No emotions 👉 Trade smarter on OneBullEx using my link: rebrand.ly/7b3792
For my Account Management & Signal services👉 rebrand.ly/azr2wfo
For my Account Management & Signal services👉 rebrand.ly/azr2wfo
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
🔥Automate my TradingView strategies with OneBullEx 🤖 Professional crypto bots • Risk-managed • No emotions 👉 Trade smarter on OneBullEx using my link: rebrand.ly/7b3792
For my Account Management & Signal services👉 rebrand.ly/azr2wfo
For my Account Management & Signal services👉 rebrand.ly/azr2wfo
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.