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Steffro
Jul 29, 2018 3:57 PM

Small risk, Big profit Short

US 100 IndexFXCM

Description

Nasdaq has gone so much up lately and I think it will turn downwards next three years.

Target 1: 3500 (52%)
Target 2: 1760 (76%)
When: April 2021 and May 2022 / January 2024
Stop loss: Above the resistance arcs.

Arguments:
- 2 different Gann Squares says it made All time high last week.
- Gann line from the Gann Square is saying the same.
- Gann Fan line also says the same.
- Elliott Wave Theory fits in.

Forecast:
- It will descend rapidly next two-three years.
- Target 1 is chosen because of all the different lines and harmonics: Gann lines from different start points, 0.618 Fibonacci level and Gann Arc is located here. The potential from the drop in 2000 is also copied in here.
- Target 2 is chosen because of the trend line marked. Here is also a 0.886 Fibonacci level and a different Gann Arc located.
- In year 2000 it dropped for almost 3 years continuously. With that in my mind I know what the potential is in this case. Same thing happen on my idea on EOSUSD (Yes, it is a different case no doubt). In other word I think both targets are likely to happen.

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Here is a close-up on the current situation:

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Here is my earlier idea on EOSUSD as I mentioned:

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Things might go faster than expected:

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Pullback! Above the bottom line.

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Testing the bottom line again..

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Some weeks later this is the situation:

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10-year:

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10%

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15%

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Too much up lately?

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Update:

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Update:

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It won't stop rising! This is the last arc:

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Not sure how this will continue regarding the GANN idea, but it is clearly moving downwards currently. Right now it is testing the 50 MA.

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Currently testing the 200 MA. The 50 MA is pointing downwards. It is also testing the support area I made earlier (red box). Look closely on the Fib levels and the Gann lines. I've sketched some possible directions ahead.

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VIX at the moment:

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Look like an older pivot point made it pull back. A quick rise, but will it continue?

Comments
Sachinsyd
no way! IT can drop to 4800 area max that too some major macro event like recession etc. or Full blown trade war
Steffro
@Sachinsyd, Lets see:) I respect your estimate on 4800 though!
Ronnie_Dong
UnknownUnicorn1547977
Last target is 2500 by the end of 2022.
Dont miss this opotunity to buy ;)
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