NatGas - A possible bottom

If price stays here by the US close I will try a long entry.
Today we took out Friday's daily high. It's not a daily daily swing yet, but we should be close to a bottom.
If the daily cycle low is in the decline was not so severe as the previous scary DCL...

The SlowStoch crossed over in the oversold territory, also the RSI is just leaving oversold...
They might push it down one more time that's why I'm waiting for the close.

This 3rd daily cycle could be interesting. It can be a weak, a neutral or a powerful cycle. All depends on how strong the first few days will be. If we break above 3.375 in 5-10 days after the lows we will test back or break above the first daily cycle's high.(3.839)
I set the 3 scenarios on the chart.
This could be the best weeks for UGAZ in the intermediate cycle. I will be trading 50% NastGas CFD and 50% UGAZ on my account.
Many traders are waiting for new lows soon.
But Natty is not that simple. It will show some volatility at the end of the intermediate cycle : a new high in summer is something what fundamentalists don't expect ...

Comment:

When I posted this idea I didn't enter because the swing was erased almost immediately after the post. We had a new low.
Yesterday we had a swing again and this swing was there at the close.
I missed yesterday's entry so entering the trade today as we have the pullback.
I'm convinced the low is in.

Trade active:

NEW LONG ENTRY at 2.963$