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hollowayj
Feb 3, 2019 6:17 PM

NDX bubble repeats itself  Short

US 100 IndexTVC

Description

Monthly candle price action over 25 years. targeting NDX 2800 by 2021
Comments
tgc01
Have you tried to put the earnings of the companies at the time in the index against the curve. You will see that we are not exactly at a comparable level.

Though NDX still overpriced on the short term - retracement highly likely. But not a collapse of the FANG, they are not going to disappear like most of the companies during the tech bubble
hollowayj
@tgc01, Hi, I do understand that the fundamentals are different from the FANG stocks from 2000. You are right, they will no disappear. They didn't disappear in 2000 either. Tech stocks are overvalued, we are also entering a global recession.

thanks
tgc01
@hollowayj, probably - inflation will come back and tech stocks will have their earnings eaten down.

Feels like we are bouncing on the B wave of Elliott wave theory (A down, B up, C down), and that we should fall back to something like 4.5k using fibonnacci
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