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The_111_Quants
Mar 24, 2018 4:13 AM

NEOUSD 4H UPDATE - 24/03/2018 Long

NEO / DollarBitfinex

Description

Following previous chart dated 09/03/2018 which was telling 2 stories, one of them true today (of course ;-)).
So, 63.62 failed to hold and as mentioned in comments, that went bad for NEO.
Therefore, count was not valid anymore, previous trade from 80ish was stopped out at 78.00 and that is fine.

Now, we can see clearly that 28/02/2018 high was a bull trap or false breakout, for me it is a FLAT from 141.16 high and it sent all the way down, but for that I need a 5 waves down from 28/02/2018 high (146.12), therefore RSI divergence that I do not have yet: so I expect a new low,

OR
if we go higher from current level (no RSI divergence therefore only 3 down from 146.12), I do not label the FLAT but a truncated cycle from 06/02/2018 and a classic double correction (dotted line in price and RSI).

So, do you buy now or below 49.04?
Comments
ETSPRO
Wait and buy at 200
The_111_Quants
@ETSPRO, Thanks for the heads-up!
Indeed, from a trading point of view (not investing), we need to wait for 198 to break to initiate a bullish sequence in daily and place trade to the upside and I agree with that, even though I would not buy the break out itself (I trade the 4h chart). So, personally, I am buying extension in retracement. Because I see a 5 waves up to Jan 2018, there will be another 5 waves up coming, so i buy equal leg area of the correction's cycle. Got stopped out once for few hundred bucks and will go back below 49. If I miss this one, I will wait for a break above 198 to position although I would not buy the breakout , correct.
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