🏢 Company Overview – Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX)
Netflix
NFLX is a global leader in streaming entertainment, offering on-demand content in over 190 countries. With an expanding portfolio of original series, films, and now ad-supported tiers and gaming, it remains a dominant force in digital media. A 10-for-1 stock split in November 2025 has broadened investor access.
💰 Q4 FY25 Earnings Snapshot
Revenue Forecast: $11.96–$12.0B (+16–17% YoY)
EPS Estimate: ~$5.45 | Split-adjusted: ~$0.55
Operating Margin: Expected 23.9%–24.1%
Ad Revenue: FY25 could close at $5.9B, nearly double earlier projections
🔍 Focus will shift to 2026 guidance, especially around ad-tier growth & margin expansion
📰 Trump’s Bond Buys Fuel Speculation
Donald Trump bought 2 tranches of Netflix bonds ($250K–$500K each) in Dec 2025, maturing in 2029
Purchases came days after Netflix’s $72–$83B all-cash bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Part of over $100M in bond holdings, drawing attention ahead of earnings
📉 Price Action – Technical Snapshot
Current Price: ~$88–$89
52-Week High: $134
Drop: -29% in the past 6 months, driven by Warner deal uncertainty
📉 Recent 10-for-1 split (Nov 2025) reset investor sentiment
💡 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry: $80.85 - 83.00
✅ Targets: $92.00 ➤ $104.00
❌ Stop Loss: $73.00
📈 Bull Case: Analysts eye $130+ if FY26 margins expand to 32–35%
🧠 Final Thoughts
With major catalysts in play—earnings, margin guidance, ad growth, and M&A—volatility is expected. Keep an eye on volume and after-hours moves.
Netflix
💰 Q4 FY25 Earnings Snapshot
Revenue Forecast: $11.96–$12.0B (+16–17% YoY)
EPS Estimate: ~$5.45 | Split-adjusted: ~$0.55
Operating Margin: Expected 23.9%–24.1%
Ad Revenue: FY25 could close at $5.9B, nearly double earlier projections
🔍 Focus will shift to 2026 guidance, especially around ad-tier growth & margin expansion
📰 Trump’s Bond Buys Fuel Speculation
Donald Trump bought 2 tranches of Netflix bonds ($250K–$500K each) in Dec 2025, maturing in 2029
Purchases came days after Netflix’s $72–$83B all-cash bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Part of over $100M in bond holdings, drawing attention ahead of earnings
📉 Price Action – Technical Snapshot
Current Price: ~$88–$89
52-Week High: $134
Drop: -29% in the past 6 months, driven by Warner deal uncertainty
📉 Recent 10-for-1 split (Nov 2025) reset investor sentiment
💡 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry: $80.85 - 83.00
✅ Targets: $92.00 ➤ $104.00
❌ Stop Loss: $73.00
📈 Bull Case: Analysts eye $130+ if FY26 margins expand to 32–35%
🧠 Final Thoughts
With major catalysts in play—earnings, margin guidance, ad growth, and M&A—volatility is expected. Keep an eye on volume and after-hours moves.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
