Netflix, Inc.
Long

NFLX – Q4 Earnings Preview | Big Moves Incoming?

218
🏢 Company Overview – Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX)

Netflix NFLX is a global leader in streaming entertainment, offering on-demand content in over 190 countries. With an expanding portfolio of original series, films, and now ad-supported tiers and gaming, it remains a dominant force in digital media. A 10-for-1 stock split in November 2025 has broadened investor access.

💰 Q4 FY25 Earnings Snapshot

Revenue Forecast: $11.96–$12.0B (+16–17% YoY)
EPS Estimate: ~$5.45 | Split-adjusted: ~$0.55
Operating Margin: Expected 23.9%–24.1%
Ad Revenue: FY25 could close at $5.9B, nearly double earlier projections
🔍 Focus will shift to 2026 guidance, especially around ad-tier growth & margin expansion

📰 Trump’s Bond Buys Fuel Speculation

Donald Trump bought 2 tranches of Netflix bonds ($250K–$500K each) in Dec 2025, maturing in 2029
Purchases came days after Netflix’s $72–$83B all-cash bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Part of over $100M in bond holdings, drawing attention ahead of earnings

📉 Price Action – Technical Snapshot

Current Price: ~$88–$89
52-Week High: $134
Drop: -29% in the past 6 months, driven by Warner deal uncertainty
📉 Recent 10-for-1 split (Nov 2025) reset investor sentiment

💡 Trade Setup

🎯 Entry: $80.85 - 83.00
✅ Targets: $92.00 ➤ $104.00
❌ Stop Loss: $73.00
📈 Bull Case: Analysts eye $130+ if FY26 margins expand to 32–35%

🧠 Final Thoughts

With major catalysts in play—earnings, margin guidance, ad growth, and M&A—volatility is expected. Keep an eye on volume and after-hours moves.

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