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Trendsharks
Apr 16, 2021 11:09 AM

NFLX - The Dark Knight Rises  Short

Netflix, Inc.NASDAQ

Description

Netflix's share price appears to be developing a Bearish Bat pattern, which would allow traders to catch a potential rebound. This setup is made especially interesting given the fact that the company is set to report quarterly earnings on the 20th of April, which is bound to stir extra volatility.

The Bearish Bat is not the pattern that Netflix deserves, but it is one it needs right now. That is so because the company is expected to deliver Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $2.98 for Q1 vs the $1.57 EPS that were reported for the same period last year. Despite this, Netflix's stock does not find itself in a strong uptrend, which is what presupposes the likely dropdown.

The rebound is likely to take place around 570.00, potentially dropping to the psychologically significant support level at 500.00.


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Comments
davidtran23456
better to short or puts after ER date.
united019
Would you short now? or post earnings?
Trendsharks
@united019, Depends on the personal approach. Arguably, it is better to wait for after the release of the EPS data in order to weather any potential fluctuations above the entry. At any rate, it is better to consider selling next week rather than joining the market today and risk having an open position over the weekend.
united019
@Trendsharks, i have a long call option position because netflix usually trends higher into earnings. WIll probably be out of it before earnings though
Trendsharks
@united019, NFLX seems to struggle with breaking out above 550.00 decidedly. The resistance has been tested 6 times already, but the bullish commitment seems insufficient. That is not to say that a reversal seems imminent, but the risk of another bearish correction is real.
united019
@Trendsharks, fair point. Thanks for your views
Trendsharks
@united019, Did you manage to get out of the position before the tumble?
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