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ryan-snk
Aug 2, 2020 11:31 PM

Natural Gas - Winter Contracts Long

Henry Hub Natural Gas FuturesNYMEX

Description

Winter contracts for Natural Gas are already trading near the pivotal $3.00 level.

If Winter this year turns out to be average prices will likely sell off towards $2.50 (the 200 Day EMA).

However, if production continues to fall and Winter is cold enough, prices can break above $3.00 and complete the parabolic move that is forming.

If the latter happens, I see prices for December(Z) contracts topping out around $3.10 - $3.30
February(F) I see topping out around $3.40 - $3.60

I'm looking for a buying opportunity on the December contract and praying for a cold November to sell it in.

Comment

Typo: The blue overlay is the January(F) contract, not February(G)

Trade active

Starting to build long position on December(Z)

+1 @ $2.82

Trade closed manually

Today I took profits on this position as prices shot up to $3.00 sooner than I expected.

-1 @ $2.99

Profit: $425
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