TO ME technically there is a lot off positive long term signs here. My challenge will be WHEN, at what price exactly to enter long. What do you guys think? should i enter at 26 and say good is good? or do you guys think i should try to hitt at a lower level? whe have seen eraligher that the right shoulder might be a little lower, but weeve allso seen it higher for this stock. And what do you think if one buys at 26 and it crosses down throught 25. Is that a sign for a quick temporary sell? Tell me in the coment section bellow!
Fundamental analysis will probably play a big role annyhow. This is not a complete analysis. BUT the technical patterns are verry bright clare to the eye. The stock tends to never trend below theese levels we are now closing in at, at 26-24. Ive waitet since about november to see the stock at theese levels and im now getting verry happy that the stock is moving exactly following the pattern i drew upp in november. With head and choulders on the 4h and day chart.
The tecnical aspects that counts for a medium time frame rend uppwards is: - first of all the history repeating itself with the head and sholders. - History repeating itself with head en shoulders - at theese same VERRY STRONG support levels at 25-26 (Look at volume profile also). - RSI bellow critical lavels with the first shoulder in the pattern. Here annyway, i am not shure if we now will se a crossing of critical levels again. My thought for now ist that i will not put to much weight om the RSI pussition between now-and possibly lower levels. It is low allready, so if we would see 26 price levels with the non-crossing RSI i would personally still see it as a cualified time to buy. Mabye look intraday to se if i can hit som lower level spike down under 26.. - Last B was 15 feb 2016, before that 07 may 2012, before that 02 may 2009. SO.. in thought of the time we see some pattern here. now its 10 feb 2020. So we would look to buy in the time between now and end of may, 4 years after last price at theese levels.
Against: - One should not underestimate the possibility of in mowing down the support at 25, with allso day bars or intraday bars spiking well below these lewels down to for example 22,5. Around time for by i would follow news that might come out that can push it further down than the 25 levels. If i have bought at 26, and it pushes down to 25 i will sitt. Crossing down at 25 i will probably sell and wait for clearer signs of my tecnical (positive) factors to show themselves. Allso see some positive days with increasing wolume to get confirmation that we ar not going away from the historical trend or setteling bellow the heavy supports down there.
TO ME technically there is a lot off positive long term signs here. My challenge will be WHEN, at what price exactly to enter long. What do you guys think? should i enter at 26 and say good is good? or do you guys think i should try to hitt at a lower level? whe have seen eraligher that the right shoulder might be a little lower, but weeve allso seen it higher for this stock. And what do you think if one buys at 26 and it crosses down throught 25. Is that a sign for a quick temporary sell? Tell me in the coment section bellow!
fortunatly i analysed this perfectly!!! the RSI did not cross the critical line i talked about in the analysios. even thought the stock price went right threw to 23..... Perfect! bouth the RSI and the price had to be corect to go long here, wich i fortunately did not. (keep in mind guys that even thoght we hitt the rigt levles.. it is still a quation wether to buy or not du to ... even thought it is bottom do not need to mean it is guilg upp again right away,,, you might se a LONG timely period on this one with sideways movement because of investor scarcity framm previous fall. 2. The virus. 3 - other markets going down and investors selling funds right now. The concentration in NHY is a lot of long term investors, but allso funds consisting of small savers and other light investors innside the funds (i have not fact checked this, but due to character i will lightly assume this)
So... i weel ceep looking put for it to se signs off positive uppwards trend establishing, not just wait for the bottom (wich might be some place about now)
So... i weel ceep looking put for it to se signs off positive uppwards trend establishing, not just wait for the bottom (wich might be some place about now)