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msk_analysis
Aug 29, 2020 9:17 AM

NIFTY POSITIONAL VIEW - Target 10000 in couple of months  Short

Nifty 50 IndexNSE

Description

Nifty has retraced quite a lot after falling due to pandemic . It has very high chances to correct and consolidate as the economy and the stock market can't show such divergence for long

question is - when will it start correcting and what happens next

possible scenarios


- FII has been buying like anything last week, US markets all-time high, so it looks like NIFTY also has some amount of steam still left. This leads to a hypothesis that it will continue its bull run for next few days more and try to touch 11800-12000 zone without taking a breather

- other option may be Nifty takes a breather next week and corrects slightly and then continue its bull run till it enters the Possible reversal zone mentioned in the charts

option chain for 3rd Sept expiry shows 11500 as support and 12000 as resistance - range. there were quite a heavy OI changes at 11600 levels - put OI increased 1.3 M and call OI decreased by 160k that's tells 11600 can be taken as good support


US S&P 500 index Climbs Fifth Straight Week - anecdotally , usually after 3rd / 5th week a correction is due - so may take would be on the negative side for next week but for intraday only. the positional shorts can be taken from the PRZ zone


Happy Trading
Comments
ckirtane
big fall will come only after US ELECTION 3NOV 2020. FALL BELOW 10000 SURE.
Trader1680
Forget 10000, now it is not coming. Be with the trend.
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