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indiamarketoutlook
Jul 17, 2021 7:49 AM

Game of Positions: Friday Index F&O Trade data analysis  

Nifty 50 IndexNSE

Description

This is not a recommendation.
Trading in Futures & Options involves real money and high risk. Hence there is a need to do more study before you randomly take a decision.

Just like in a game of Chess, when you plan to make a move, you need to factor in opposition's game strategy.
Using the same principle, when trading in Futures & Options, we should be aware of how 3 major participants i.e
- retail participants,
- FIIS
- Proprietary traders
have positioned themselves. DIIs have not been factored in here as they have limited access to F&O trade

Futures data
• Retail participants squared off 142 Long contracts & squared off 2.71K Short contracts
• FIIs squared off 5.99K Long contracts & added 6.89K Short contracts
• Pro traders added 5.06K Long contracts & squared off 6.20K Short Contracts

Call option
• Retail traders added 4.26 Lakh Call Longs & added 3.91 Lakh Call shorts
• FIIs added 54.92K Call Longs & added 70.17K Call short
• Pro traders added 1.14 Lakh Call Longs & added 1.34 Lakh Call shorts

Put option
• Retail traders added 2.24 Lakh Put Long & added 2.79 Lakh Put shorts
• FIIs added 62.13K Put Long & added 40.61K Put shorts
• Pro traders added 89.54K Put Long & added 67.18K Put Short contracts

- Retail Participants exited from Index Futures shorts and in Options are Net Call Buyers and Net Put sellers (bias is bullish)
- FIIs on the other hand exited from Index Futures Long and added Index Futures Short positions and in Options are Net Call sellers and Net Put buyers (bias is bearish)
- Pro traders have taken long position in Index Futures and exited from Short positions. However, they have hedged their position in Options by being Net Call sellers and Net Put buyers (Neutral)

Let us see who turns out to be the winner in this Game of Positions on Monday.

Important levels for Nifty
Important levels on upper side: 15960 /16030
Important levels on the downside: 15780 / 15628 / 15450

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Disclaimer:
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
- we do our best to ensure that the data we release is complete, accurate and useful. However, because we do not create the data, and because the processing required to make the data useful is complex, we cannot be liable for omissions or inaccuracies
– The user expressly acknowledges that the Data may contain some nonconformities, defects, or errors.
– Neither Indiamarketoutlook nor the author shall be liable for any claim for any loss, or any other damage arising from access to or use of data or information contained herewith.

Comment



Important Target level of 15628 achieved.
Comments
harishpkv
Plz guide me if u can
I carried 1200 points( 16 lots) Nifty put of 16100 strike @ 186 on Friday.
Where should I cover it ..just after gap down opening of 100 odd points or should I wait for more downside
indiamarketoutlook
@harishpkv, any price for Nifty spot around 15680-15720 that should be a good capture for your option position. Consider booking profits.

Till the time Nifty is trading below 15780-15820 odd levels things look weak. Trading and sustaining above 15820 and you may consider to exit.

Enjoy your day...🙂
harishpkv
Your observations are amazing as I analysed ur previous ideas with actual moment of indices or scripts.
Ur perception seems realistic and ur point that market is tired is worthy n as we see hanging man candle (bearish) is being reflected in last 2 e trading sessions.
Keep helping us from ur ideas as it supports us to save or capital n grow it with reasonable risk involvement
sanketsudan
I enjoy the your efforts in work and sharing. Another important factor is the global sentiment which seems to be getting somewhat bearish as is indicated by the SGX (I concede that final SGX values can be very much different from what is seen today), which is in consonance with the FII sentiment.
indiamarketoutlook
@sanketsudan,

- Thank you for sharing your valuable feedback. Good to know, that the hard work is useful 🙂🙏🙏

- Yes, I agree with you, the SGX can be misleading at times.

- with regards to global market they do look tired. US Dow, Germany Dax, Shanghai have been sideways like our market since April, whereas Nikkei (Japan) and Hangseng are already down 7-10% from their recent tops.
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