manishmgupta

Nifty Levels & Strategy for 29/Sep/2022

Long
manishmgupta Updated   
NSE:NIFTY   Nifty 50 Index
Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading.

NIFTY
Nifty closed in red and below 50 DMA but defended 100 DMA level. Nifty is oversold. As expected, IT stocks started moving up from lower levels. Today also buy on dips and sell on rise strategy worked well. Is higher volatility from last 2 days indicating temporary bottoming process. Today, US market is trading in green. Let us expect a good recovery in next few days from 2 year's low levels. Traders should short/take bearish positions at higher levels with strict SL only otherwise they may get into beartrap.

NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 28/SEP/2022
NIFTY IS DOWN BY -149 POINTS
Name Price Previous Day Change % Change
Nifty 16859 17007 -148.80 -0.87%
India VIX 22.10 21.57 0.53 2.45%

OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 29/SEP/2022 EXPIRY DATA
Max OI (Calls) 17000 (Open Interest: 9576050)
Max OI (Puts) 16500 (Open Interest: 6235950)
PCR 0.61 (PCR is in oversold zone)
Nifty Calls:
ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
Nifty Puts:
ATM: Long Buildup, OTM:Long Buildup, ITM:Short Covering, FAR OTM:Short Buildup

Shall we continue to look for sell on rise opportunities ????? Yes, I think so. What do you think?
1. Only at higher level after decent pull back from lower levels
2. near major resistance levels
3. near high OI in CE strikes with strict stoploss?

Shall we look for buy on dips opportunity ????? Yes, I think so. What are your views?
1. near major support levels
2. near high OI in PE strikes with strict SL?

However, it’s quite important to check & review following prior to finalize your strategy/work plan for next trading session. Market is very dynamic and overnight situation may get change.
1. Global cues based on EOD data
2. FIIs/DIIs/Big player cash & F&O data analysis

Please do share your comments. Let us work & win together. Have a very happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
Comment:
FIIs & DIIs, Cash & F&O Buy/Sell Data Analysis Dated 28/Sep/2022

FIIs: Bearish in cash & Bullish in F&O
FIIs have sold in cash for -2772 Crores and bought in derivatives market for 8759 Crores.
FIIs have added bullish positions in index futures (1127), index call (61035) and stock put. FIIs added bearish positions in index put (47070). FIIs did profit booking & reduced positions in long as well as short contracts of stock futures and stock call options.

DIIs: Bullish
DIIs bought in cash market for 2544 Crores. DIIs did profit booking and reduced positions in long as well as short contracts of index futures, index put and stock call options. DIIs have added mild bearish position in stock futures (-41). stock options.

Pro Traders: Mild Bullish
Pro traders have taken bullish positions in index futures (2844), stock futures (2825), index put (-30685) and stock call (49143) option contracts. Added bearish positions in index call (-46429) and stock put (6755) option contracts.

Retail Traders: Mild Bearish
Retail traders have significantly reduced long as well as short positions in index futures, stock future, stock call and stock put option contracts. They have added bullish positions in index put (-10701) & bearish positions in index call (-14606) option contracts.

Please do review, analyse and share your comments as well. Many thanks for following me on twitter, liking my analysis & retweet. Let us work and win together. Wish you a very happy, healthy & profitable trading day ahead!

Disclaimer: I have analysed the data based on my limited knowledge. I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared here for educational purpose. Please don’t trust me for trading as it may lead to financial losses. Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
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