NIO 1W - engine on or just market noise?

Technically, NIO has broken out of a long downtrend and is holding above the key $7.4 support. On the weekly chart this looks like the first sign of a long-awaited reversal. Fundamentally, however, the story is still mixed.

The company reported record October deliveries above 40 k units, up roughly 93% year-on-year - strong momentum that shows NIO is expanding its market share in China and entering a new growth phase. Still, free cash flow remains negative and profitability elusive due to heavy investments in battery-swap infrastructure and R&D.

Overall, sales growth and improving brand position support a bullish outlook. As long as price holds above $7.0–7.5, targets at $16.3 and $24.4 remain realistic. A breakdown below $6.5 would invalidate the setup.

Even electric dreams need a full charge - let’s see if this one can make it up the hill.