Very unexpectedly, Chinese officials canceled their upcoming meeting with the White House today. And as suddenly as the news came out, the market left the green territory and soon became red, moving VIX by +9.04%.
Since about 19% of Nike's sales take place in the Chinese market, the news impacted the stock negatively. Besides the news, the chart also signifies that something is holding the stock back. ~89.50 level has been a strong selling area since April and the price has not successfully passed this level ever since. This identifies a strong selling pressure at ~89.50 price. It could also be an early sign for a triple top pattern (I do see this likely, but the pattern is not developed yet). In a longer timeframe such as the weekly chart, NKE has been developing a rising wedge pattern. The pattern is bearish and if we take the recent rally from ~78 to ~88, I believe we have a partial raise. After touching the lower boundary of the wedge in August, this increases the likelihood of a bearish breakout by 80%. With respect to momentum, bullish momentum has been decreasing rapidly and MACD should signal a sell on Monday. Today's candlestick was also quite bearish.
I currently have an active position; I have been short since Monday and it has been losing all week. Nevertheless, it turned into profit just today. No further scaling in; Just watching its flow...
Cheers!
Since about 19% of Nike's sales take place in the Chinese market, the news impacted the stock negatively. Besides the news, the chart also signifies that something is holding the stock back. ~89.50 level has been a strong selling area since April and the price has not successfully passed this level ever since. This identifies a strong selling pressure at ~89.50 price. It could also be an early sign for a triple top pattern (I do see this likely, but the pattern is not developed yet). In a longer timeframe such as the weekly chart, NKE has been developing a rising wedge pattern. The pattern is bearish and if we take the recent rally from ~78 to ~88, I believe we have a partial raise. After touching the lower boundary of the wedge in August, this increases the likelihood of a bearish breakout by 80%. With respect to momentum, bullish momentum has been decreasing rapidly and MACD should signal a sell on Monday. Today's candlestick was also quite bearish.
I currently have an active position; I have been short since Monday and it has been losing all week. Nevertheless, it turned into profit just today. No further scaling in; Just watching its flow...
Cheers!
Trade active
Comment:
Things are getting very interesting. After the earning results, NKE jumped to ~96.00 and my position was down big times. The stock is heading down for the last week. I could not add a lot to my short when the price was high, but most of the losses are covered by now. This reminds me of the quote “The stock market is designed to transfer money from the active to the patient.” We'll see...
Trade closed: stop reached:
Entry @ 86.68
Exit @ 90.50
Loss 4.22%
Exit @ 90.50
Loss 4.22%
