Illustrated in orange is the December 02 - December 25 candle sequence that led to the recent 5,820 low. Since then, the current candle sequence is identical to that, only inversed of course. Essentially so far it looks like it is the same . Now there are a lot (mostly fundamental) reasons that can break this candle sequence (without necessarily changing the course) but it can be a useful guide for the long entries.
Based on the ATH/ 5,820 low levels, a more modest long TP would be the 0.5000 retracement of 6,777.50 if you want to avoid taking the 100% risk.
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