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QuitMyJob
Jan 21, 2017 7:58 PM

NUGT nearing reistance Short

Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 2XSharesArca

Description

Former uptrend support moving average for NUGT should function as current downtrend resistance. The next leg of the downtrend should extend significantly below the 2016 low. IMHO, a reverse split will be required. XAUUSD is also facing technical resistance. All of this should be good news for DUST.

Comment

Updated value of target resistance moving average in question to MA987 on 39 minute chart.

Comment

In the downtrend that began in July of 2016 XAUUSD has retraced 38 percent. The downtrend should resume as should the downtrend for NUGT.
Comments
leonardcohen
Isn't a five wave downtrend normally followed by an uptrend? Also, since the downtrend is broken, does not that indicate an uptrend has begun?
QuitMyJob
@leonardcohen, in a word, the answer is yes. The move since December 20th is the uptrend. However, the Dec 20th uptrend is just a "corrective wave" fractal within the August 2016 downtrend wave count (think 5-3-5). Five wave counts are followed by either corrective waves contained within the 5 count or trend reversals that overwhelm the 5 count. I believe this recent uptrend is a corrective wave and that the downtrend will continue and extend below the false bottom placed a year ago. Energy and metals experienced a Santa Claus rally. Well, this week, the tree comes down! Rise you mighty US dollar!
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