NVDA 1D: Pause before the next chip

Feb 1

On the daily chart NVIDIA has shifted from a strong impulsive advance into a consolidation phase. After printing new local highs, price formed a contracting structure, broke higher, and returned for a retest of the breakout area. Selling pressure remains limited, with no follow-through to the downside, suggesting a pause within trend rather than a reversal.

Structurally, price action reflects consolidation inside a broader uptrend. The 185–190 area remains the key holding zone, where price stabilized after the retest and continues to trade above the 100-day moving average. Higher lows are preserved, keeping the higher timeframe structure intact. MACD holds above the zero line, while ADX continues to decline, confirming compression rather than directional expansion.

The primary reaction level sits near 212, marking the upper boundary of the current consolidation. Acceptance above this level would allow for continuation toward the 230–232 area, aligning with the upper expansion of the range. A failure to hold the 185-190 zone would shift price into a wider neutral structure without confirmation of trend continuation.

Fundamentally, NVIDIA remains strong. Q3 2025 EPS came in at 1.30 USD, with Q4 2025 EPS estimated at 1.52 USD ahead of the February 26, 2026 earnings release. Revenue reached 57.01B USD in Q3, with expectations of 65.56B USD for Q4. Cash flows remain robust, with operating cash flow at 83.16B USD and free cash flow at 77.32B USD. Compute and Networking continues to be the dominant revenue driver.

As long as structure holds, the market remains in digestion mode following the prior impulse.

Price action leads before fundamentals follow.

Feb 6

Trade active

Aug 17

Trade closed manually