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NZDCHF A safe long-term sell option

Short
FX_IDC:NZDCHF   NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR / SWISS FRANC
The NZDCHF pair has been under the selling pressure of a Lower Highs zone for more than 5 years (since December 2016), forming a long-term bearish Channel that is more accurately illustrated by the Fibonacci Channel extensions and retracements. This zone has rejected the price 7 times with the most recent being on the March 28 2022 1W (weekly) candle. This chart is on the 1W time-frame.

What makes NZDCHF an even stronger long-term sell opportunity, is that the price action from December 2020 until today, resembles the sequence from May 2016 to August 2017. Common characteristics besides the price action and the three Lower Highs zone rejections, include the 1W RSI sequences and the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line)/ 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) convergence.

After the 3rd rejection, the price dropped to the Support of the last Lower Low of the Channel. Right now this Support is at 0.60800 and this is our target within Q3 of this year.



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