Shown in this example is the Monthly timeframe of the NZDJPY where we are currently sitting at the potential formation of a right shoulder in a reverse head and shoulders pattern. At the moment this market is showing respect for the low that was established at the left shoulder right around the 73.11 level. The ability for this market to stay above the left shoulder around the 73.11 level will increase the likelihood that the long term pattern will evolve. This sets up for a major long term move that would take NZDJPY all the way to the 98 level. A move below the left should around the 73 level will invalidate this idea. So for the expected move toward 98 this turns out to be a huge move the expected risk associated with the idea.