$NZD v. $JPY - Model Eyes 83.815 | #RBNZ #BOJ #yen #kiwi #forex

FX:NZDJPY   New Zealand Dollar / Japanese Yen
622 4 15

Perhaps one more contender is found in this $NZDJPY joining the ATHENA method group (see more currently developing in this linked room: https://www.tradingview.com/chat/#x0ZJVZ9JQjlrtd7Y ).


Model defines the following bullish targets:

1 - TG-Hi = 83.815 - 27 OCT 2015


2 - TG-Hix = 85.014 - 27 OCT 2015


Feel free to read what this method entails using the link above. Here, we are looking at a potential ATHENA development well on its way.

Interim retracement (not reversal) is likely to occur as of the level of this writing (circa 81.445), so not a bad break from the market for those missing the first ferry.


All bullish targets and expectation would become invalidated if price BACA < 80.226.


David Alcindor
Predictive Analysis & Forecasting
Durango, Colorado - USA

Twitter: @4xForecaster
Linked-In: David Alcindor
TradingView: http://www.TradingView.com/u/4xforecaster

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- All comments are for educational purpose only. If you need advice, ask a professional, licensed person. They should know.


Comment: 02 NOV 2015 - Chart Update:

David Alcindor
Comment: 19 NOV 2015 - Chart Update / Tech-Note:

Price reached and reversed from a reciprocal ab = cd symmetry while a WW/Geo emerged (black) - Note that the original geometry may continue to impose its own parallels as resistance, but I would simply turn to the WW/Geo as more stable and consistent geometries:

In any case, the Predictive/Forecasting Model bullish targets remain intact and in force ... Still, I would cast doubt on these targets if and once price breaks below the recent low, corresponding to point-d of the aforementioned ab = cd symmetry.

David Alcindor
Comment: ... ADDENDUM ... Look for significant support at the 79.742/79.609 range defined in the chart - David
David Alcindor
Alias: 4xForecaster

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hey David since price closed below 80.226 twice is your ATHENA invalided? ..and isn't that a head and shoulders formation on the 4h ?
+1 Reply
4xForecaster Andrek1876
Hello @Andrek1876 - The geometry remains intact for now.

However, you are absolutely right to ALWAYS question the integrity of a pattern, geometry, or even an entire analysis - You can never go wrong with this insight, and even better yet if you maintain a "plan-B".

Here is a "Plan-B" have have kept in mind ... Since you are thinking about a possible failure (and that is the best way of trading ... I always like to think that I am wrong, and let the Model prove me wrong that I was wrong ... Sort of a null-hypothesis, may be):

+2 Reply
Andrek1876 4xForecaster
thanks for the respond with the a plan b analyst
+1 Reply
4xForecaster Andrek1876
You are very welcome @Andrek1876.

+1 Reply
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