The NZDJPY pair has been trading within a Bullish Megaphone pattern since the March 24 Low. It has been though on its longest correction in the last 1.5 months and on Monday hit the bottom of the Bullish Megaphone. For as long as it holds, this is a potential early buy signal as the price also made contact with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is the level that held and initiated the rebounds of July 28 and June 01.
The first buy confirmation will be a 1D MACD Bullish Cross (last one recorded on June 12) and the second a bullish break-out above the Lower Highs trend-line and 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). In that case, we will buy and target 89.700 (Resistance 1).
If however we get a 1D candle closing below the Megaphone's bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) and the 1D MA100, we doubt Support 1 will hold and will take the buy's loss, opening a sell position instead, targeting 83.540 (Support 2).