_VincentP_
Short

Exit Bulls, Enter Bears or vice versa? Your move RBNZ!

FX:NZDUSD   New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar
This Wednesday we have RBNZ's Official Cash Rate and Rate Statement. Will this news event give the signal for a bearish move to sub 0.7 levels? I can see price do a number of things by Wednesday.
  • Already anticipating bad NZD news and break lower to 0.6680 region
  • slowly moving towards the lower trend line which then breaks upon the news
  • Staying around current levels (0.6840 - 0.6875) and then break lower OR
  • Less likely IMO             , move up due to relief

I'm biased towards lower levels even though RSI is almost and Stoch already oversold on 4H.
However, they aren't on Daily and thus I could see H4 levels getting stretched.

As indicated on the short I see various levels that could cushion the fall for weeks to come if we in fact move lower.

Let us see.
Comment: Looks like price choose option 3. It stayed close to the current levels although it did shrug the recently broken trend line after the USD sales figures.

If FOMC gives us a surprise we could see 0.668 or even lower. If it stays within expectations we could see a slower move to those levels but overall I am expecting the tone to be bearish for the last part of the week.
Order cancelled: So much for dollar strength...
Comment: Double top formed. We might see lower after all.
Hey Vincent. Email me at aqib.mustafa@gmail.com
Reply
United States
United Kingdom
India
Deutschland
France
España
Italia
Polska
Türkiye
Россия
Brasil
Indonesia
Malaysia
ประเทศไทย
Việt Nam
日本
한국
简体
繁體
Home Stock Screener Forex Signal Finder Cryptocurrency Signal Finder Economic Calendar How It Works Chart Features House Rules Moderators Website & Broker Solutions Widgets Stock Charting Library Feature Request Blog & News FAQ Help & Wiki Twitter
Profile Profile Settings Account and Billing My Support Tickets Contact Support Ideas Published Followers Following Private Messages Chat Sign Out