All I can see is shorts in this scenario. But I am having difficulties understanding why it keeps pushing up.
Ideas to support this idea:
Strong trendline resistance
Key Level resistance
Strong resistance zone
ICI to the downside
DXY strong support at 92, which has already been tested
DXY looks heavily oversold on LTFs
NZDUSD looks heaving overbought on LTFs
My Stoch indicator is giving multiple signals to short on multiple LTFs
Although I still think that we see a huge impulse down any minute, I am losing confidence as time goes by. If I see price action on DXY continuing down, I'll likely close this trade around 25 pips, instead of holding to 40 pips. Let me know your thoughts.
Trade Safe! HEET
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Thank God! We finally had an impulse down. Now just need to break the support zone marked in red and we should see continuation at least to the recent lows.
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I was kinda expecting this but hoping it wouldn't happen. I am guessing it will retest the entry before it comes back down, if it comes back down.
Why? To complete the H&S pattern and reject the upside move in order to push back down.
One thing I am a little worried about. What if this is a break and retest of the counter trendline breakout? Depending on whether you draw your trendline with wicks or optimal placement, it resisted the trendline or broke out...
If the current retracement breaks the top, I think it is safe to say this idea is invalidated.
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This trade is looking much better now. We cleared the previous higher lows and hoping that we can reach the previous lows around 0.7015 for the first target.
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I took some profits close to the bottom and on the retracement closed 50% of my position. DXY is still bullish but NZD is gaining a lot of strength.
I'll likely close the rest of my position shortly and consider reentry if the price action goes in my direction.
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I'm still in the trade with my stop loss at break-even with only 1 lot remaining. I'll let it ride just to see if it plays out or not.
Also, it looks like we have a strong level of resistance that may save this trade idea.
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After crossing that resistance level I marked above, I closed the rest of my position. I'll step away from the charts until NY session.
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Just in case, I set an alert on that trendline. I may consider a reentry depending on price action and if it holds.
I am with you here -I think perhaps move your top trend line to the top of your wick and this scenario then makes a lot more sense.
FXHEET
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@World_Open_Forex, Thanks mate. I completely agree with you there. I actually did that on the last 2 screenshots I posted.
Lets keep our fingers crossed that this continues down and breaks the previous lows.
World_Open_Forex
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@Heet007, Fingers crossed. Your analysis is quite solid.
FXHEET
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@World_Open_Forex, Thanks again mate. Really appreciate the feedback.
We are currently bouncing off that important area now. Let's see what London open brings.
World_Open_Forex
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@rcjugg Has an idea on this that is worth considering.
mostafapanori
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My friend I think close sales deals has broken the channel ceiling
FXHEET
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@mostafapanori, Hi mate. Are you referring to the candles extending beyond the channel in the original chart?
If so, it was what @World_Open_Forex and I were discussing above. By adjusting the channel to the wicks, it aligns perfectly.