JLS: Macro & Micro News Volatility Interior the Target Zones
Based research technical papers undertaken by the Fed, the macro and micro news volatility is interior the target zones. The medium term target zones set for 10 % by Louvre and 15 % by the EMS and 15 % by the monetarists' consensus, or estimated to 1000 PIPs, 1500 PIP and 1500 PIPs. The impact of the macro and micro news on the volatility is assured interior the 1000 PIPs to 1500 PIPs wide of target zones.
At such less attention made on the macro and micro news and primary attention paid for the monetary trend and interest rate policy trend. Target zone represents the equilibrium exchange rate ceilings based on interest rate differentials. And, as long as the prices to be fluctuated interior the target zone with sudden drop or sudden jump, the price is assumed to be stable by monetary assumption.
Therefore, market entries and exits at upper or lower ceilings or near to upper or lower ceilings, more likely assured to be at low risk. However, market entries interior the target zones most likely at risk. Exception may be seen if and when their relative prices are measured and taking into consideration on the price elasticity and implied volatility.
At such less attention made on the macro and micro news and primary attention paid for the monetary trend and interest rate policy trend. Target zone represents the equilibrium exchange rate ceilings based on interest rate differentials. And, as long as the prices to be fluctuated interior the target zone with sudden drop or sudden jump, the price is assumed to be stable by monetary assumption.
Therefore, market entries and exits at upper or lower ceilings or near to upper or lower ceilings, more likely assured to be at low risk. However, market entries interior the target zones most likely at risk. Exception may be seen if and when their relative prices are measured and taking into consideration on the price elasticity and implied volatility.