The last CFTC Commercial (Banks) report shows 6,381 long and 32,706 short for NZD, which is 5:1 ratio for sell NZD.
There is two obstacle to fulfill this scenario - it is dollar index and expectations to change for NZD in the future (due to global pressure, global growth, etc.). If us dollar will go down, then nzdusd probably will consolidate or even go up. Pay attention of that.
Presented Idea is only an assumption, one of many possibilities which can happen.
Always invest consicously. The price can do anything at any time.