More notably, it is observed that whipsaws on weekly price behavior (see grey shaded areas), the price curve lingering 21DMA and , could not sustain the breakout, as a result it doesn't seem to sustain as stated earlier.
Volumes are mammoth on every price declines, so it is deemed as a conformity to the as dipping price on a rising justifies the momentum of selling pressures.
This would mean that ongoing run is mightier than short-term rallies.
As per our last post sharp gravestone was traced out at 0.6828 levels where it had rejected a resistance at 0.6883 levels, previous to which one more gravestone occurred exactly hanging channel resistance at 0.6722 levels, these two indications have caused prices to slip below 21DMA on daily terms.
converging the ongoing price dips at 40.8212 levels, while %D line crossover on slow curve is seen near oversold zone.
The risk bias to antipodean currencies remains firmly to the downside in 2016.
Well, long-term investors don't get trapped in this pair as it is clearly dipping within a southward channel that has moved way below 21DMA.
Trading tips: As it has opened today to break supports below 0.6475 but hovering around the same levels, we could foresee the next strong levels of support only at 0.6262.
One can initiate fresh shorts at current levels keeping 0.6575 as strict stop loss for the target of 150 to 200 pips.
We can eye on further dips on intraday terms as the long term downtrend to resume back again. The trade idea would be good to buy ATM binary puts on rallies for targets of 30-35 pips.
Hence, we are on NZD for 2016 and forecast NZD/USD at 0.59 by Q1 of 2016 and 0.61 by Q4 of 2016.