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without_worries
Sep 28, 2023 8:09 AM

Is the Finnish Bank OmaSp about to collapse? 

OMA SAASTOPANKKI OYJHEX

Description

The charts are suggesting caution. On the above 10-day chart:

1) Double top in price.
2) Regular bearish divergence.
The higher the timeframe you look the more ugly this divergence is.

Laterally I’m wondering if the small banking crisis that hit the US is now venturing to other parts of the world. OmaSp does not appear to be in isolation.

There were some tell-tell signs before the collapses of Silicon Valley and Signature Banks. (No one in Europe heard of those banks!) They were:

1) Strong bond market exposure.
AND
2) Same TA as above.


“OmaSp has been active in the bond market since 2013” says their website. Very true..

Until recently you could get the information on their Bond market exposure.. You click on the WebPage today and you get:

omasp.fi/en/financing-and-bonds

“Unfortunately the webpage you were looking for can not be found”

Oh dear…

Ww



Type: Trade, short
Risk: <=3%
Timeframe: Candles closing at 19 and under.



10-day Silicon Valley Bank
before

after



10-day Signature Bank
before

after

Comment

“US and German bond yields at multi-year highs in continued global selloff”

ft.com/content/a2b58071-23a2-4241-b3cc-f2c237124073

Guess which bank cannot participate in the sell off until 2025?

Comment

Price action has exited the flag pattern. The exit confirms on December 4th whereby a 10-day candle body shall print.
Comments
WillSebastian
Here :)
without_worries
@WillSebastian, Thank you kindly.
TradingView
Thanks for sharing your research👍 Also, you'll get $100 at the end of the month- check your DMs 👀
without_worries
@TradingView, Thank you!
sultanrich
@TradingView, imagine giving away coins to someone that is sharing a failed speculation. I should start doing that too as it's clearly rewarded.
mydigitalvehicle
The company's numbers look very good. Don't get me wrong but their books and performance still look healthy? When you scroll a bit down you can see a multiyear overview..;

omasp.fi/en/investors/omasp-investment/key-figures-and-financial-targets
sultanrich
elaborate on ”collapse” please.
without_worries
@sultanrich, Bankrupt, 90% correction, state intervention, game over.
sultanrich
@without_worries, I can tell you this much, based on the chart, you will never see such "collapse". But if you're basing this on fundamentals, then thats a different story. Im no fundamental trader/investor, but it's really hard for me to believe a European country bank would be running the shady operations as in America, especially Finland. Good luck with this trade tho, and when it fails, maybe consider refunding your patreonists.
without_worries
@sultanrich, This is a public only idea not shared anywhere else. Indeed as indicated on this idea it is neither short nor long. Furthermore there is much more happening on the TA as alluded here, many times in the past has WW ideas forecast 90% corrections... Perhaps one day you too will become funder of cause ;)
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