timwest

Priceline.Com -PCLN-Daily: On Balance Volume Saying Goodbye...

Education
NASDAQ:PCLN   None
Very strong selling is going on under the surface of PCLN. Although the price appears to be healthy and range-bound, it appears as if long term holders have liquidated their positions and now are waiting for prices to fall dramatically.

I know it looks like I'm kicking PCLN when it's down, but it is still just "rolling over" on the long term chart. The uptrend has been thousands of percent and this is only less than 20% off the highest highs.

Airline stocks rolled over and are very weak, so that bodes ill for all the stocks involved in the travel industry for the near term.

The ATR is 23 points. If you use 1 ATR as a measuring stick, your stop can be about 3 ATR's away and your target might be about the same. The probability of hitting 3 ATR's profit versus the 3 ATR stop is the key in the long run: I'd presume about 75% chance of a win from this setup. That makes a good system in the long run if you can find enough trades to take.

1:24PM EST Wednesday, October 1, 2014

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