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ericsolan
Apr 6, 2020 7:10 PM

PDD LONG entry on breakout of downward trendline Long

PDD Holdings Inc.NASDAQ

Description

As PDD broke its major downward trendline , a long position with a good reward to risk ratio can be entered with a tight stop.

Factors leading to the decision:
- The recent downtrend has been broken with decent volume
- The 20ma was broken and held, pulling in moving-average traders off the side-lines
- A recent low offers a perfect spot to put a logical technical stop

As always, respect a tight-stop. If it rips up, let it run and trail stops behind.

Comment

Hitting resistance here, one could exit the trade, exit half, or let it ride

Trade active

Took off half the position here with an inverse hammer showing possible reversal incoming. 18% gain for the first half of the position. Keeping a tight trendline under the lows of the recent move and any close below that trendline will cause me to exit the remaining half

Trade active

Took off another 25 of the position. Letting the last ride up the ascending trendline under the recent lows

Trade closed manually

Taking the remaining 25% of the position off as it failed to gain a new high today. 34% move with leverage, I'm content.
Comments
deathbytrading
nice call.
moretzdl
Based on your research do you think that we will possibly see a retrace back to the $35-$36 before a larger pop? It looks as though it always makes that type of play.
ericsolan
@moretzdl, maybe. Right now the entire market is rallying so it might give it the energy to go without a retracement but who knows, we can't predict these things.

On trendline breaks, there's three common scenarios I find:
- a rally right out of the gate (best scenario for those who got in early)
- a retest (retracement) of the trend from the other side before the main event (early entries feel pain here)
- a failure (having a tight stop should protect for a small loss)

With that in mind, the best thing I can do is all my DD then just enter the trade, let my stop keep my losses small and let price do its thing.
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