PeterLang_7

Buying Pepsico; Fitch just affirmed credit rating "A"

Long
NASDAQ:PEP   PepsiCo, Inc
EPS FY 2019 = 5,228
EPS FY 2018 = 8,84
EPS FY 2008 = 3,26
EPS FY 2009 = 3,81

Pepsico ; stable EPS over the last 20 year with a positive drift
PepsiCo was trading at an average P/E ratio of 12,5 between the announcement of FY 2018 and FY 2019 earning reports. High EPS of $8,84 in 2018 were the reason for a significatly low P/E ratio . The final earnings report 2019 brought EPS down to $5,28, leading to a rise of the P/E ratio towards 25. The stock price fell by 22% recently as a result of the COVID-Crisis, turning the P/E ratio to levels of 21-22. It is unlikely that FY 2020 reported EPS will beat FY 2019 EPS , therefore I’ll buy the stock at it’s historical average P/E ratio of 20 at 20*5,228 = $104.56, expecting that demand defensive dividend earning stocks will increase.

Invesment idea
Entry price $108
Take profit (or hold 😉) $129,6
Max expected holding period 6 months
Profit 20%

I`ll buy the stock as soon as it hits $108. The financial outlook of PEP remains stable because of a very stable FCF .
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