Pepsico; stable EPS over the last 20 year with a positive drift PepsiCo was trading at an average P/E ratio of 12,5 between the announcement of FY 2018 and FY 2019 earning reports. High EPS of $8,84 in 2018 were the reason for a significatly low P/E ratio. The final earnings report 2019 brought EPS down to $5,28, leading to a rise of the P/E ratio towards 25. The stock price fell by 22% recently as a result of the COVID-Crisis, turning the P/E ratio to levels of 21-22. It is unlikely that FY 2020 reported EPS will beat FY 2019 EPS, therefore I’ll buy the stock at it’s historical average P/E ratio of 20 at 20*5,228 = $104.56, expecting that demand defensive dividend earning stocks will increase.
Invesment idea Entry price $108 Take profit (or hold 😉) $129,6 Max expected holding period 6 months Profit 20%
I`ll buy the stock as soon as it hits $108. The financial outlook of PEP remains stable because of a very stable FCF.