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TheSiam
Jan 31, 2021 6:53 AM

POLS/USDT - Volatility Trade [HVP+Hurst+RevDiv] Long

Polkastarter / Tether USDPoloniex

Description

Since the Hurst has been nosediving below 0.5 to indicate a phase of mean reverting, I'd assume the HVP on the daily would have been contracting as I've seen it do on other similar occasions, (I'm assuming since there isn't enough bars/data history on the underlying for me to straight up read the HVP indicator currently).

On smaller time frames (using the 4hr here), it seems that the contraction of the HVP has completed and the expansion of the HVP has begun, we got this screenshot: tradingview.com/x/ubvzWLnj

So I'd expect the daily Hurst to start going back up soon.

So with all this information in mind, as well the price being pretty close to the bottom bullish divergence band on the reverse divergence indicator on the daily chart, I've taken a long.

I'm trying to see how many good trades I can make using these 3 fundamental indicators. So far it's been good.

Indicators provided by BAPIG.

Siam.
Comments
TheSiam
Oops forgot to mention the need to realise the correlation of price with HVP to aid determination of direction. My bad.
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