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ridethepig
Mar 12, 2020 3:22 PM

ridethepig | Bullish On Home Fitness ... Pelaton At The Lows! Long

Peloton Interactive, Inc.NASDAQ

Description

We can start to look for single stock opportunities as behavioural economics changes as a result of the Coronavirus impact. We are talking about a dramatic loss in confidence, global OCD patient numbers are ticking higher which btw itself from time-to-time be a very useful indicator.

We are talking about an outbreak which has triggered volatility across the board and home enablers will benefit. Would it not be opportune to direct our focus towards a new sector? How to do that will be seen in the following months in the stages of transfer.

As the main background to the theme, VIX now reaches the final stages in the move towards 85 it's time to start looking for value areas in PTON:



We are starting to reach the initial targets in SPX and DAX selloffs which implies there will be some profit taking from sellers despite the fact we are entering into a recession:

DAX



SPX



Other opps...GILD will continue doing the heavy lifting on Remdesivir (GS-5734) side, this is their free pass into the Chinese Healthcare system. Models will need to start quickly repricing revenue from the Hep B cases in China. GILD will do the heavy lifting here, +/- $20 upside available on the headline for FDA approval which looks around the corner. Flow-wise, the initial target area from the latest technical break comes into play at 86. xx (+25% from current levels).



Highlights on the ownership front going to usual suspects in here, Morgan Stanley, Soros, Blackrock, Eminence and Fidelity. This is another known position, it's going to be decided in the next few days. Thanks as usual for keeping the likes and comments rolling.

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Eyes on the close today...

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Crumbs away from the first targets here... come on!

Trade closed: target reached

First targets hit, a flawless 35% swing!

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Trade closed: target reached

...and final targets cleared!! Well done all those who caught this move, a flawless +80%!!!! swing that we played together during the middle of a historic crash. A textbook example of finding key single stock opportunities.

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Insane overshoots at the highs in PTON...



The pandemic is a game changer for gyms and home fitness, if more people are going to workout from home -> will more personal trainers become virtual trainers? Home enablers will continue to outperform over the coming months and quarters.
Comments
DameELTocino
think it keeps riding up? or dips back down?
ridethepig
No need to change the view here @DameELTocino
battousai1130
@ridethepig , imagine my surprise to see your post on wallstreetbets lol !
ridethepig
@saisudharsanan :)
battousai1130
@ridethepig, I closed my position at 26.4 . After that the market kept taking, and I didn't think PTON could hold. I didn't wanna lose the profits accrued. No regrets. Thanks again for the trade !
ForexTrainer99
That's why Nadaq going up. Thanks
ridethepig
Welcome @ForexTrainer99 :)
heish
Hi thanks for your content.

would be nice to hear your opinion on this.
Its more from an investment point of view but I thought it might be interesting to compare.
Having said this I will wait for targets to reach before opting to invest for medium term. (probably after the presidential election in the us).

Really like your work!
ridethepig
Thanks for the kind words @heish ... you are right to indicate profit taking after the multi year rally, a lot of free handouts being given by co-ordinated CBs will provide the ebb and flow. Expecting a temporary floor this month.
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