QCOM earnings could be better than analysts expect
The semiconductor has been hot lately, with recent earnings beats from MU, INTC, TSM, and TXN. These companies' performance implies that demand in this sector has recovered faster than analysts expected. That bodes well for Qualcomm, which posts earnings results Wednesday. The Zacks Earnings Surprise Prediction is 0%. However, QCOM has a long history of beating earnings expectations, which it's done for the last 8 quarters straight.
Technical analysis from Recognia and TradingCentral indicates that QCOM is in Elliott Wave 5, headed toward a price target of $80-82 per share. That's at least 6.5% upside from the current price. According to TipRanks, the average analyst price target is $84.70, which is 12.5% above the current price.
Analyst ratings on the stock are surprisingly mixed, given the high average price target. QCOM has a "sell" rating from Zacks, the most accurate analytics firm, and a 6/10 ("neutral") Equity Summary Score from Thompson Reuters StarMine. Investor sentiment appears neutral overall, with the stock holding above its daily moving averages, but MACD is below the signal line on both the hourly and daily charts. The price is currently below its 20-hour moving average and slightly below its Hull Moving Average. The price shadow on the candlestick chart implies that sellers are currently in control, but that buyers are waiting for a green light to take over.
The bottom line for me is that investors and analysts may be undervaluing Qualcomm and underestimating its prospects of an earnings beat, given the overall strength of the sector and the company's history of beating estimates. Qualcomm has strong support at its current level from both the volume profile and the daily moving average, which makes this possibly a good entry.
In the event of an earnings miss, the price could find earnings-day trend line support around $72.88 or moving average support around $67.50. Meeting expectations could leave the stock in a slow downtrend. An earnings beat could send the stock to $78, $79, $80.75, or $82.50. A really big beat could send it as high as $86 on earnings day.
Technical analysis from Recognia and TradingCentral indicates that QCOM is in Elliott Wave 5, headed toward a price target of $80-82 per share. That's at least 6.5% upside from the current price. According to TipRanks, the average analyst price target is $84.70, which is 12.5% above the current price.
Analyst ratings on the stock are surprisingly mixed, given the high average price target. QCOM has a "sell" rating from Zacks, the most accurate analytics firm, and a 6/10 ("neutral") Equity Summary Score from Thompson Reuters StarMine. Investor sentiment appears neutral overall, with the stock holding above its daily moving averages, but MACD is below the signal line on both the hourly and daily charts. The price is currently below its 20-hour moving average and slightly below its Hull Moving Average. The price shadow on the candlestick chart implies that sellers are currently in control, but that buyers are waiting for a green light to take over.
The bottom line for me is that investors and analysts may be undervaluing Qualcomm and underestimating its prospects of an earnings beat, given the overall strength of the sector and the company's history of beating estimates. Qualcomm has strong support at its current level from both the volume profile and the daily moving average, which makes this possibly a good entry.
In the event of an earnings miss, the price could find earnings-day trend line support around $72.88 or moving average support around $67.50. Meeting expectations could leave the stock in a slow downtrend. An earnings beat could send the stock to $78, $79, $80.75, or $82.50. A really big beat could send it as high as $86 on earnings day.
