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the_sunship
Aug 8, 2023 8:47 PM

State of the market - SPX + QQQ 

Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1NASDAQ

Description

One more low is still possible to complete a falling wedge and more substantial panic before the bigger rally. I do think a larger multi day rally comes, but it could wait a day or two. I will update if anything changes. Good luck!

Comment

we broke out of the wedge structure so any test of it or a little lower is an objective long (with a reasonable stop in case it's a fake breakout).

Comment

If correct, target maybe around 4570 on spx - could be today or today and overnight before the numbers at 8:30 tomorrow.

Comment

target area reached, buyers need to come in if it's going to rally.

Comment

big fight at this level. Note the small time frame rsi is very low compared to yesterday's. A little lower is possible but I still think bulls have a shot at reversal here.

Comment

nope, bulls failed, repeat of yesterday. Bottom of wedge may become support, we'll see.

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this looks like a reversal, but unless they can get over the yellow trendline, i remain cautious.

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if they sell into the close, it would be different from the previous days, and possibly a bear trap into the numbers tomorrow.

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very difficult to predict but I think this is what is happening into tomorrow's numbers at 830am.

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looks like this maybe - watch out for the numbers at 830, good luck today!

Comment

yellow trendline reached on another chart, it may reverse here.

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i adjusted the lines just to see if there was anything hidden. I found this - we may get a bear trap at open and then rally rest of day. The end of the impulse may have been the final low yesterday. Good luck! I will update

Comment

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IF there is a pullback it should be bought. A leg has started IMO.

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looks like it's processing a B wave. Watch for choppiness and a final move down sometime today.

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they are buying the breakout area, but the rsi is warning of a possible further leg down for 5 on Q's - could be at least. be cautious.

Comment

Rally postponed it looks like - final leg down on tech and then bounce next week.
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