Fractal pattern downtrend is supported by strong bearish divergences on daily, weekly, and monthly time frames.
Comment:
This is the local top. Time to drop.
Trade active:
^ September 12th turned out to be the exact day of the local top at $194.7
Personally targeting short to ~$163 zone before the end of November.
Reasons to short:
- maybe fractal downtrend (but the final movement was a bit squirrelly)
- maybe wonky H&S right shoulder (but the neckline is very steep)
- maybe lower high (but this cycle might not be over yet)
- Failed MACD upward cross on the 1M timeframe
- Failed MACD upward cross on the 1W timeframe
- Huge RSI downtrend resistance on several daily and weekly timeframes
- Huge OBV downtrend resistance on several daily and weekly timeframes
? Lack of obvious economic strength
? 10 year overextended bull market
? Overwhelming global debt bubble
? Trump impeachment fears
? China trade war fears
Reasons to long:
- A mix of hidden bullish divergences in various timeframes
Personally targeting short to ~$163 zone before the end of November.
Reasons to short:
- maybe fractal downtrend (but the final movement was a bit squirrelly)
- maybe wonky H&S right shoulder (but the neckline is very steep)
- maybe lower high (but this cycle might not be over yet)
- Failed MACD upward cross on the 1M timeframe
- Failed MACD upward cross on the 1W timeframe
- Huge RSI downtrend resistance on several daily and weekly timeframes
- Huge OBV downtrend resistance on several daily and weekly timeframes
? Lack of obvious economic strength
? 10 year overextended bull market
? Overwhelming global debt bubble
? Trump impeachment fears
? China trade war fears
Reasons to long:
- A mix of hidden bullish divergences in various timeframes
Based on both fractal analysis and otherwise, I expect a serious continuation to the downside into the low $170s sometime around Sept 11th.