Since its recent peak on 15th November 2022, the price of QQQ drifted lower by about 4%. Currently, it trades for around 282$. We continue to be bearish on the Nasdaq 100 index and pay close attention to market developments. To support our bearish thesis, we would like to see QQQ continue to hold below the immediate support/resistance. Additionally, we would like to see a pick-up in volume accompanying a price decline. Contrarily, if QQQ breaks above the immediate support/resistance, it will be bullish.
As far as fundamental factors go, these support our bearish thesis on the macroeconomic level. The FED and other central banks are pursuing tighter economic conditions to beat high inflation, which will inadvertently slow down the economy even more. With that in mind, we dismiss that the primary downtrend has hit bottom. Accordingly, our price targets for QQQ stay at 280$ and 270$ (10 000$ for NQ1!).
Illustration 1.01
The setup we introduced recently remains valid.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are neutral. DM+ and DM- are bullish. Overall, the daily time is neutral.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
Stochastic points to the upside. MACD also points to the upside but stays in the bearish zone. RSI is neutral. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is neutral.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
As far as fundamental factors go, these support our bearish thesis on the macroeconomic level. The FED and other central banks are pursuing tighter economic conditions to beat high inflation, which will inadvertently slow down the economy even more. With that in mind, we dismiss that the primary downtrend has hit bottom. Accordingly, our price targets for QQQ stay at 280$ and 270$ (10 000$ for NQ1!).
Illustration 1.01
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are neutral. DM+ and DM- are bullish. Overall, the daily time is neutral.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
Stochastic points to the upside. MACD also points to the upside but stays in the bearish zone. RSI is neutral. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is neutral.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Trade active:
A breakout below the immediate support/resistance became invalidated. Therefore, our price targets are on hold. They will become active once again when the price breaks below the level. Otherwise, we will stay on the sidelines.
Trade active:
As noted before, the setup remains valid, with price targets becoming active again.
Trade closed: target reached:
Our price target of 280$ was reached.
