BITTREX:REPBTC   Augur / Bitcoin
What is up everyone! I am here with a pick that has great utility. When we at Digital Alpha look for solid tokens to hodl, we think of two things. 1) Will the product benefit from being a security? OR 2) Will this application be adopted? Notice I did not say, is this the best project of its kind? What matters at this time in the crypto world is how much use will a platform see or how much volume can this security generate. When thinking of Augur, many can see its use very quickly. Augur is a predictions platform and anybody can set up their own "project". However, when I see something like this, I think of the recent success of Draft Kings. Draft Kings uses a subset of analytics and users draft a team to see if they picked the best players for that weekend, meaning it boils down to a predictive market. This type of application built using the Augur platform will be a huge hit...and this is just one example. Others use natural disasters, market crashes, or political elections to name a few.

With Augur, the fundamentals are there, which is the first step in deciding if a token is worth accumulating a position in.

(I'm writing this piece, part of the HODL posts, because many lose sight of investing when checking out cryptocurrencies. Many tend to go where the action is - EOS for a recent example. EOS was great for making quick money, but you can also get burned quick. For those that look to invest, follow the HODL series, not the quick picks.)

Second step is entry. Looking at the chart here we see Augur is consolidating. In fact, Augur's chart is less volatile than most. We don't see the typical bubble chart - pump, distribution, blowoff, markdown, accumulation. In fact, Augur is following eth/btc pretty closely (on btc and usd pairings).

The magenta box is drawn to help show the general trend of price in that area. Price tends to oscillate here and use this area as support or resistance. When price enters from above we tend to test this area as support and steam roll through. Same goes when price approaches this area from below. We are currently dropping in from above, so history would say, we are headed down. The TINY volume spike seen on the couple days leading up to its platform release is a bearish sign for me as well. We typically expect very high volume before such an anticipated event. General market sentiment is also bearish . So why mention Augur in the first place??

Price has dipped down to the 0.236 fib level of the previous high/low each time, which places us around 0.0043 this time around. Many believe BTC's sentiment might change any week and I'm not sure I completely agree yet. Once we get closer to August 10th's (which will most likely be crickets) decision for an ETF approval (or eventual postponement of a SEC comment), we will see if the bull run is upon us. Regardless, the chart reads price might track up after the tiny dip here. MACD supports this since we are starting to form a horizontal top triangle pattern . An upward breakout on MACD would be bullish here.

Keep REP on your sights and watch for movement around 0.0043. Things to look out for are volume and MACD movement upwards. Regardless, placing some buys just below 0.0043 would be wise for a long-term move.

Hope you enjoyed this first installment in the HODL series. Other HODL like calls that I've discussed outside of the top 5 previously are NEO, ICX, IOTA, XLM .

Have a great week!

Comment: still haven't seen bottom here
Comment: 0.00225 appears to be the next test for REP.


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