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myceliium
Mar 26, 2021 3:06 PM

RH: Cycle completion after earnings rally? Short

RHNYSE

Description

quicklook: High probability that RH has come to the conclusion of its year-long rally. Long-term outlook on the left, short-term on the right.

Since this idea covers weeks-months, won't go too in-depth but will try to post weekly updates

Entered short position. on the pop to 575. Let's see how this goes

Trade closed: stop reached

Forgot to update this one - still exploring the bearish trade for the long term but the low float here could carry RH to 2.618 fib level (~630)
Comments
gsenthilanand
Hi @myceliium,

Is this strategy still valid ?
myceliium
@gsenthilanand, I closed my short position and have been watching for a re-entry. At the moment the long term strategy is valid but RH could rally to 630 in the short term considering the low float
gsenthilanand
Thanks @myceliium.
myceliium
@gsenthilanand, with RH @ 640 I have began to reconsider the short position. I would say this is a much safer place to enter a bearish position
gsenthilanand
@myceliium, Thanks a lot for remembering to update this post on current setup.

Would you recommend a PUT or going short on common stock ?
myceliium
@gsenthilanand, I mainly trade option so the 600P 6/18 is looking most attractive to me right now
mhmokhtari2000
agree
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