olly_price
Short

Another unsustainable rally based on commodities

INDEX:RTS   Russian RTS Index
Following the recent oil             rally, the Russian equity index has also rallied about 30%. However, this - like the oil             rally and the Petrobras rally I posted about - is unsustainable.

See my post attached here for why the oil             rally is unsustainable.

Why is RTS             unsustainable?
Firstly, it is likely to follow oil's possible move down.
Secondly, Russia is still in quite a severe recession.
Thirdly, Russia's economy is forecast to contract 1.5% this year.

As long as the outlook for oil             looks poor (as it does in my opinion), then the Russian equity index shouldn't be making rallies of 30%.

Technicals
The market has hit a strong level of resistance, as indicated by the upper horizontal black line.
nbn007 PRO
7 months ago
UP UP UP))
+1 Reply
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